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I feel like it may be a little too soon to tell, since we're still so early in the season. And when Harvey didn't get any nominations, I remember reading something that said a possible contributing factor that it had been almost a year since it was on Broadway, so it may not have been as fresh on people's minds as other, newer shows. If that's true, the same problem could happen again.
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Yes the timing can certainly prove to be a problem. It's similar with the Oscars. The movies that get Oscar noms are typically released just a few months before award season kicks off so they stay fresh in the voter's minds...