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She made the decision she rhought was best. Of course we know it was a mistake, but hindsight is always 20/20. From Mary's perspective, she beleives Elizabeth will never stop coming for her. And truthfully she won't. She said she didn't want to draw first blood...she didn’t say she wouldn't strike the second she had an excuse. She just needs Mary to look bad enough for her to make that move.
Of course Mary knows there will be issues, but she believes thise issues are less of a problem than the ines she faces now. The marraige would have worked just fine if Darnley hadn't been such an ass hole. Her only mistake was trusting Darnley on a personal level.
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Except for the fact that Mary knows his an ass hole. Because he was willing to set fire to something with people in it, and also the way he sleeped with his ex and his response.
She's knowingly marrying him even though she knows he's a jerk.
And its a marriage many advised her as a bad idea.
I get she wants her cousin's throne but this is a terrible way to go about it. She is not using good judgment.