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To be blunt, AFI, like the Academy, is too old for a movie like this, made by a director of Nic's current standing.
It's why films like The Help and J. Edgar -- which was awful, BTW -- are likely to be nominated this year, while MMMM, 50/50, Drive, Shame, etc. are left in the cold for BP (Fassbender might get in for Best Actor for Shame though, because Gary Oldman isn't even pretending to care). Their idea of "edgy" is something that's already been played out everywhere else (GWTDT).
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